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Higgins Capital Management, Inc.

You Can't Catch-Up Without Taking More Investment Risk

For seasoned investors facing a retirement shortfall, the time for conventional strategies is over. Cutting expenses, maximizing contributions, and diversification are valuable, but they won't be enough if your portfolio needs to double in a limited timeframe. Addressing a substantial gap requires embracing more risk in a calculated manner. It’s not a question of whether to take on more risk, but how to do so strategically.

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Simply adding more equities won't move the needle fast enough. Instead, investors need to target market segments with asymmetric upside potential. This means reallocating toward high-risk, high-reward areas like emerging markets or specific sectors, such as technology and biotechnology. These segments offer the possibility of exponential growth, but investors must accept short-term volatility. Deep dives into sub-sectors, particularly companies in the disruptive stages of growth, could offer the headroom necessary for accelerated gains.

Beyond the public markets, investors should consider alternatives like private equity, venture capital, or distressed debt. These asset classes are not for the faint-hearted; they involve illiquidity and high uncertainty. However, the potential rewards are correspondingly outsized. Private equity allows participation in a company’s growth before it hits public markets, capturing value that is typically missed by traditional investing. Venture capital is even riskier, focusing on companies in their infancy, but the payoff for a successful investment can be life-changing. 

Leverage is another tool to enhance returns. This is a strategy often shunned by more conservative investors, but for those in need of rapid catch-up, it can be a game-changer if applied wisely. Using options or margin to leverage high-conviction positions can accelerate growth, provided you have a solid risk management plan. Leverage should not be applied indiscriminately but used selectively on sectors or themes backed by strong market indicators. Options strategies such as covered calls or spreads can add a layer of potential return while managing some downside exposure.

Tactical market timing, though dismissed by traditional wisdom, becomes relevant when closing a gap within a limited time. This is not about reckless trading but about informed, data-driven moves based on market conditions. Technical analysis, macroeconomic trends, and sentiment indicators can guide strategic entry and exit points. For example, reallocating toward undervalued sectors during corrections can set the stage for significant short-term gains. The challenge is acting on these signals with discipline, avoiding emotional trading traps.

Real assets like real estate and commodities offer another avenue for potentially high returns. Investing directly in real estate markets with strong demographics or supply constraints can provide both current income and capital appreciation. Commodities such as oil or gold, particularly during inflationary cycles, can yield substantial profits while acting as a hedge against broader market downturns.

However, taking on more risk does not mean abandoning discipline. Every risky move should be backed by robust risk management—using stop-loss orders, setting exit points, and stress-testing the portfolio against adverse market scenarios. While leverage can amplify returns, it should be limited to a fraction of the portfolio to contain potential losses.

Catching up on retirement savings is not about playing it safe; it's about committing to a higher risk profile to achieve extraordinary results. Accept that the path forward is volatile, and use your market experience to navigate these waters with a clear strategy. Extraordinary outcomes require embracing risks that others might avoid. If you're truly behind the curve, incremental adjustments won't suffice. It’s time for bold, calculated moves that accept the trade-off between higher volatility and the potential for substantial upside